Pages tagged "Author Erica Frazier"


You can still bank on Monopoly Politics projections

Posted on What's New Erica Frazier on November 13, 2018
You can still bank on Monopoly Politics projections

Despite a volatile political climate and several upsets in key races, our 2018 projections for the U.S. House were still 97.5 percent accurate.

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Plurality system of voting casts a dark shadow over candidates

Posted on What's New Erica Frazier on October 31, 2018
Plurality system of voting casts a dark shadow over candidates

Independent and third-party candidates could "spoil" up to 40 U.S. House races in the midterms. But the real spoiler is the system, not the candidate.

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Why partisanship determines election winners even without incumbents

Posted on What's New Erica Frazier on October 23, 2018
Why partisanship determines election winners even without incumbents

63 of the 435 U.S. House races have no incumbent. But what should be an open, more competitive election remains largely predetermined by partisan politics.

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Race for the House: How our projections compare

Posted on What's New Erica Frazier on September 19, 2018
Race for the House: How our projections compare

FairVote's Monopoly Politics projections versus models from The Economist, Politico, Cook Political Report and more.

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Monopoly Politics projections hit the mark

Posted on What's New Erica Frazier on September 12, 2018
Monopoly Politics projections hit the mark

Our model shows Democrats would need favor of more than 54 percent of voters to flip the House in November.

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