Simulating Instant Runoff Flips Most Donald Trump Primary Victories
Posted on What's New Andrew Douglas, Rob Richie, Elliot Louthen on March 04, 2016

If Super Tuesday contests had been conducted with ranked choice voting -- a proven system that empowers voters to rank candidates by preference in order to elect the candidate with the strongest support and the one most likely to garner the support of a majority -- the results would look very different. Our models suggest that Trump would have won Alabama and Massachusetts, competed in toss-up races in Tennessee and Vermont, and lost the remaining seven states.
Read moreRubio Passes Cruz and Trump in Simulated RCV Primary
Posted on What's New Andrew Douglas, Molly Rockett on February 05, 2016

Only three days after the Iowa Caucuses, the results of that contest are already reshaping the Republican primary field. Despite the fact that Ted Cruz technically won the Caucus (as much as any candidate can really “win” a caucus with proportional allocation of delegates), second-choice polling reveals a different candidate picking up momentum.
Read moreCruz Retains Lead in Final Iowa RCV Simulation
Posted on What's New Andrew Douglas, Molly Rockett on February 01, 2016

FairVote has been a consistent advocate of asking voters for more than just their first choice in polling. As the race narrows in the Republican field, second choices will inevitably play a large role in how the eventual nominee consolidates support.
Read moreNational RCV Primary Would Leave Trump and Cruz in Dead Heat
Posted on What's New Andrew Douglas on December 23, 2015

Last week, we wrote about data from Public Policy Polling (PPP) that allowed us to simulate a ranked choice voting (RCV) Republican primary in New Hampshire, showing Donald Trump in a neck and neck race when head-to-head with Senator Marco Rubio, despite leading Rubio 28% to 11% in the first choice totals trumpeted by the media. This week, a new poll from PPP allows us to conduct a similar simulation, but this time with data from Republican voters nationwide.
Read moreSimulated RCV Primary Shows How Trump Has Real Competition for GOP Majority
Posted on What's New Andrew Douglas on December 18, 2015

A recent poll by Public Policy Polling (PPP) on the state of the New Hampshire Republican Presidential Primary shows Donald Trump retaining a strong lead, but it also shows how a ranked choice voting (RCV) election would leave Trump in a neck and neck race with Senator Marco Rubio.
Read moreIt's time to get out the vote... again.
Posted on What's New Andrew Douglas on December 01, 2015

Municipalities across the country held elections last month, as they do every November. But even if you are in the minority of voters who actually participate in elections that don’t coincide with presidential or congressional contests, your civic duties might not be complete just yet.
Read moreRanked Choice Voting and Racial Group Turnout
Posted on Research Reports Andrew Douglas on November 02, 2015

A recent study on the impact of RCV in San Francisco presents some surprising findings on differences in turnout between racial groups that contradict previous research on the subject. In this report, we take a closer look at the study and find serious methodological flaws that cast doubt on its findings.
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