As we continue to track the 2018 electoral landscape, FairVote is reporting announcements from members of Congress who will not seek re-election, and analyzing how the new open seat impacts our projections for the upcoming elections to the U.S. House of Representatives.
Today, Rep. Kevin Cramer (R-ND-AL) announced that he will give up his seat in the House and run for the U.S. Senate against the incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator, Heidi Heitkamp. First elected in 2012, Cramer represents the entire state of North Dakota and vacates a seat with a Republican partisanship of 69.2%. FairVote still projects a Republican victory in 2018 at our highest degree of confidence.
We still make high confidence projections in 378 races, 207 for Republicans and 171 for Democrats.
Here is a summary of all vacancies heading into 2018 so far:
And here is the full list of open seats: