Using raw, parish-level numbers of evacuees, the report provides a rough forecast of the size, partisanship and racial composition of southern Louisiana's 'risky' Congressional districts.
Among the findings:
- Districts of wildly disparate sizes violate the 'one person, one vote' norm on equality of constituent services;
- Massive influx to the 6th district means caseworkers may be strained beyond their resources;
- African Americans may have lost the strength to elect a candidate of choice in the 2nd district, making Louisiana liable under the Voting Rights Act;
- Incumbents in the 3rd and 6th districts will face tough if not futile reelection campaigns.
Download the paper in PDF at www.fairvote.org/katrina. A one-page summary is available in the same place.