Theodore Landsman

Research Associate

Theodore Landsman

Theodore Landsman specializes in congressional elections and data analysis. Theo grew up in New York City, and attended Reed College in Portland Oregon, graduating with a BA in Political Science in May of 2016. At Reed, he wrote a senior thesis analyzing the ballot measure process in Oregon and assisted his professors with data projects on early voting and universal voter registration, as well as several document-driven projects on prisoner abuse in Iraq. Theo has participated in a number of political campaigns and has even submitted his own ballot initiative in Oregon (It did not make it onto the ballot). He is currently working on analyzing ballot data from RCV elections, and FairVote's Monopoly Politics and Redistricting report series.

E-mail Theo

Posts by Theodore Landsman

Shifts in Incumbency Advantage in the US House

Posted on April 25, 2017

Despite strong anti-establishment sentiment, which contributed to Donald Trump’s election and Bernie Sanders’ strong primary performance, more than 98% of U.S. House members won re-election in November. Not only were most incumbents re-elected, they were re-elected by significantly more comfortable margins than in 2014. The “incumbency bump” -- our measure of the strength of congressional incumbents -- rebounded from a 20-year low of 2.55% in 2014 to 3.2%. In other words, incumbents earned an average of 3.2 percentage points more of the vote than the partisanship of their district suggests they would earn.


FairVote's Projections for U.S. House Elections in 2018

Posted on April 07, 2017

Last month, FairVote released its projections for the November 2018 U.S. House elections that will take place nearly two years from now. If every current incumbent (excluding the five members of the 115th Congress who have already vacated their seats) were to seek re-election, we can confidently project that at least 368 of them, 205 Republicans and 163 Democrats would win.


How to Elect More Wendy Davis's

Posted on March 22, 2017

In 2008, Wendy Davis was elected to the Texas State Senate from a district that leans Republican. However, despite this, crossover representatives in the Texas Statehouse are rarer than ever.


Show Comments
comments powered by Disqus

Join Us Today to Help Create a More Perfect Union