Pages tagged "Topic primaries and voter choice"


The South Carolina Republican Primary: Is Trump the Majority Choice?

Posted on What's New by Rob Richie on February 17, 2016
The South Carolina Republican Primary: Is Trump the Majority Choice?

In the wake of the Iowa caucuses and the New Hampshire primary, South Carolina’s primary on Saturday looms large for defining the race for the Republican presidential nomination. A more nuanced analysis of the polls shows that Trump’s high floor of support comes with a relatively low ceiling.

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Rubio Passes Cruz and Trump in Simulated RCV Primary

Posted on What's New by Andrew Douglas, Molly Rockett on February 05, 2016
Rubio Passes Cruz and Trump in Simulated RCV Primary

Only three days after the Iowa Caucuses, the results of that contest are already reshaping the Republican primary field. Despite the fact that Ted Cruz technically won the Caucus (as much as any candidate can really “win” a caucus with proportional allocation of delegates), second-choice polling reveals a different candidate picking up momentum.

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Primary Focus: The Iowa Caucuses

Posted on What's New by Molly Rockett, Demarquin Johnson on February 02, 2016
Primary Focus: The Iowa Caucuses

On Monday, Iowans voted and the rest of the nation waited with bated breath. Our Primary Focus blog series reflects on the results of the Iowa Caucuses.

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Straw poll shows Cruz emerging as candidate with majority support

Posted on What's New by Sarah John on February 01, 2016
Straw poll shows Cruz emerging as candidate with majority support

To get a better sense of who is leading the ever-exciting Republican presidential race, Saul Anuzis, former State Chairman of the Michigan Republican Party, created a ranked choice voting (RCV) poll on our partner app, Civinomics.

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Cruz Retains Lead in Final Iowa RCV Simulation

Posted on What's New by Andrew Douglas, Molly Rockett on February 01, 2016
Cruz Retains Lead in Final Iowa RCV Simulation

FairVote has been a consistent advocate of asking voters for more than just their first choice in polling. As the race narrows in the Republican field, second choices will inevitably play a large role in how the eventual nominee consolidates support.

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Why O'Malley Second Choices Matter in Iowa -- and Huckabee's May Not

Posted on What's New by Rob Richie on January 29, 2016
Why O'Malley Second Choices Matter in Iowa, and Huckabee's May Not

With Bernie Sanders and Hillary Clinton seemingly in a very tight contest to win the state, Gov. O'Malley supporters' second choices may decide whether Sanders or Clinton wins more state and national delegates. On the Republican side, a large field means that some Republican voters are going to walk away not having cast a vote that elected delegates because they didn't get a second choice.

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Primary Focus: Imagining Better Primaries

Posted on What's New by Molly Rockett, Demarquin Johnson on January 28, 2016
Primary Focus: Imagining Better Primaries

As long as we use a primary system that prioritizes some voices over others, the voices of most primary voters across the country are devalued. In a perfect world, what would a fair primary system look like?

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How Mike Bloomberg Could Win as an Independent Presidential Candidate

Posted on What's New by Rob Richie on January 25, 2016
How Mike Bloomberg Could Win as an Independent Presidential Candidate

Former New York City mayor Mike Bloomberg is exploring a potential independent bid for president. With a reasonable boost in support, there is a realistic scenario in which he would win.

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Primary Focus: An Introduction

Posted on What's New by Molly Rockett, Demarquin Johnson on January 20, 2016
Primary Focus: An Introduction

FairVote is eager to offer non-partisan commentary throughout the nomination process. Unlike most news sources, we will not focus on candidate speeches, endorsements, or generic results reporting. Instead, our Primary Focus series will assess the systemic components that benefit or harm the voices of Americans.

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Cruz Takes Big Lead in Iowa RCV Simulation

Posted on What's New by Molly Rockett on January 15, 2016
Cruz Takes Big Lead in Iowa RCV Simulation

PPP’s latest set of data from Iowa shows significant strength for Cruz. FairVote used data from PPP’s three way contests to simulate a ranked choice contest for a state. Cruz dramatically narrows Trump’s lead in the first round, and in each subsequent round earns enough second-choice support to easily emerge as the victor.

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