Posted on October 17, 2012
This election cycle, the three largest battleground states - Florida, Ohio, and Virginia, together representing about 12.5% of the nation - are receiving the majority of campaign attention as measured by both ad spending and campaign events with presidential and vice-presidential candidates. Florida and Ohio were among the three states in the same position in 2004 and 2008, but Virginia has displaced Pennsylvania as the third most coveted state.
Posted on October 12, 2012
By simulating 50-50 ties in the national popular vote for president, FairVote demonstrates that the Electoral College does not systematically harm or help either major party. We also demonstrate that in six of the past thirteen elections, a near tie in the national popular vote would have elected the wrong winner.
Posted on October 04, 2012
New Mexico is no longer a swing state. Therefore, it should no longer expect any attention from either presidential campaign. Why did this happen and what does it mean for other states in the 2016 election?
Posted on October 03, 2012
There are 34 days left before Election Day, and the candidates have yet to campaign in 40 states since the end of the Democratic National Convention, which ended September 7. But don't take that to mean that the candidates are sitting on their laurels. Read here where the candidates have been spending their time and money during the month of September.
Posted on September 26, 2012
The Electoral College in its current form is always pretty crazy--after all, every election it causes campaigns to ignore most of the country in favor of a handfull of swing states. But you may not know the four craziest Electoral College rules, written into the Constitution, that could take effect this November.
Posted on September 18, 2012
The presidential campaign has entered its final weeks, when presidential candidates travel and campaign across the country almost every day (in swing states), advertise on television hundreds of times a day (in swing states), and thousands of volunteers devote their weekends and evenings to getting out the vote (in in swing states). This election cycle, FairVote is continuing our efforts to track the candidates’ travel and television ad spending, just as we did in the 2004 and 2008 campaigns and throughout President Barack Obama’s time in office.
Posted on September 06, 2012
Our current Electoral College rules mean that a mere four percent vote shift can make all the difference in how a state’s voters experience the presidential election. There is no better example than North Carolina and South Carolina.
Posted on August 27, 2012
Was it the hope of swing state victories that led the Republican and Democratic parties to decide to host their conventions in Charlotte, North Carolina and Tampa, Florida? Evidence suggests that it was, even if that may not mean much in terms of either campaign’s ability to win those states.
Posted on August 21, 2012
Electoral College electors weren't always chosen based on statewide winner-take-all rules. The first 13 U.S. presidential elections were messy and confusing, as each state used its own method for holding--or not holding--presidential elections.
Posted on August 16, 2012
Mitt Romney's choice of Paul Ryan could improve his chances in Ryan's home state of Wisconsin, but by how much? Will the overperforming economies of many swing states give President Obama victory in November?