Reports

Reading the Tea Leaves: The Presidential Vote and State Partisanship

Posted on November 08, 2016

After each Presidential cycle, FairVote looks at the Presidential vote returns to determine the partisanship of each state; that is, the amount the Democratic and Republican candidates got relative to the national Two-Party vote share. This turns out to be highly predictive of the odds of that state being a contested battleground in the next election.

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Oklahoma Voter Turnout Suffers without National Popular Vote Plan

Posted on March 13, 2015

The current Electoral College system -- one that Oklahoma state legislators have the power to help change -- leaves Oklahoma voters at a disadvantage during and between presidential elections. A comparison of voter turnout patterns in Oklahoma and Virginia tells the story, contradicting inaccurate analysis from an Oklahoma think tank.

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Does the Candidate Determine the Battleground States in Presidential Elections?

Posted on February 23, 2015

Many are making predictions on which states will be battlegrounds in the 2016 presidential elections. Certainly a state's underlying partisanship matters. (The closer the state, the more likely it will draw campaign attention.) But do a candidate's individual qualities shape the states he or she targets, and how much? 

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Why Missouri Will Not Be a 2016 Presidential Campaign Battleground

Posted on February 19, 2015

For more than a century, Missouri was called the "bellwether state" for its tendency to swing between Democrats and Republicans. But Missouri's days as a battleground state appear to be over, as the state has become more Republican in every election since 1996. Read what Missouri can expect in the 2016 presidential election.

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Fuzzy Math: Wrong Way Reforms for Allocating Electoral Votes

Posted on January 28, 2015

States have a constitutional obligation to decide how they will allocate their electoral votes during presidential elections. Almost all states currently use statewide, winner-take-all rules, which gives all of the state's votes to the winner of the statewide popular vote. But some states have considered alternative methods, such as the whole number proportional system and the congressional district system. We look at the effect these systems would have on presidential elections. Neither system promotes majority rule, increases competitiveness nationwide, or ensures voter equality.

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New Report! Fuzzy Math: Wrong Way Reforms for Allocating Electoral Votes

Posted on January 28, 2015

Almost all states use the winner-take-all system to allocate their electoral votes during presidential elections, but fed-up with being ignored during presidential elections, some states are now considering alternatives. Fuzzy Math: Wrong Way Reforms for Allocating Electoral Votes, FairVote's latest report, reveals that not all alternatives are good ones. The best option for states is to adopt the National Popular Vote plan.

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