Posted on November 08, 2016
As the race for control of the U.S. Senate unfolds on election night, most eyes will be trained on the handful of particularly competitive Senate races. However the dynamics that are likely to unfold in Louisiana are promising to be particularly intriguing. With so many competitive candidates running for Senate, we’re almost certain to see severe vote-splitting, with no candidate winning even close to a majority of the votes, requiring a runoff election.
Posted on November 02, 2016
The FairVote presidential tracker, which has been regularly used this fall by National Popular Vote, looks at where major party candidates for president and vice-president have been rallying their supporters at events that are open to the public, free and intended to influence local voters. Our data for the tracker is based on local news reports and the campaigns’ public schedules.
Posted on October 19, 2016
Ranked choice voting has been adopted by several cities in the Bay Area of California and elsewhere to replace a contingent runoff taking place after a November election. One concern for advocates and critics alike is ballot exhaustion, but the data shows reason for optimism.
Posted on September 06, 2016
The Washington Post's Chris Cillizza in his "Monday Fix" political column writes that "Minnesota and Wisconsin are getting slightly more Republican with each passing presidential election, but it is a very slow change." This isn't true, actually, and a good reminder of why the National Popular Vote plan for president is so important.
Posted on August 29, 2016
Professors Hersh and Fraga’s analysis of electoral competition makes the case that “the picture is much rosier” than FairVote characterizes in calling one of our reports “dubious democracy.” But we stand firmly by our position. In this first post we examine the presidential elections and show that that levels of electoral competition in states are far from healthy. Without rose-tinted glasses, this conclusion is inescapable.
Posted on July 29, 2016
In the weeks since the California primary, when Hillary Clinton joined Donald Trump in becoming her party’s presumptive nominee for president, FairVote has tracked both candidates’ campaign appearances. FairVote’s similar analysis in 2012 showed just how much the candidates focus on swing states that might tip the election with our current Electoral College rules.
Posted on July 22, 2016
FairVote, has compiled and analyzed state-by-state data on voter turnout for the 2016 presidential primaries. Released today, its reviews trends in voter turnout nationally since 2000, as well as differences in turnout by party.
Posted on June 30, 2016
In addition to forcing different groups of voters to compete for the scarce representation they are afforded by this system, the way we elect Congress is also plagued by issues such as plurality winners, turnout gaps, vote-splitting, single-party dominance, and incumbency advantages. All of these were on display in the District 13 primary, and all of these contribute to making Congress so dysfunctional.
Posted on June 17, 2016
Every election cycle one of the most notable types of results is an incumbent candidate losing their seat, especially when that candidate loses in a primary. Of course, it doesn’t happen very often in our congressional primaries.
Posted on June 10, 2016
The 2016 primary marked the third election cycle of statewide races when California employed the “Top Two” method, in which candidates from all parties for State Assembly, State Senate, US House, and this year, Barbara Boxer’s open US Senate seat, appeared on the same ballot. FairVote will be providing more extensive analysis of this unique system’s outcomes in the coming weeks, but we wanted to share a few key findings now.