Pages tagged "Author Theodore Landsman"


Understanding Condorcet Winners and Non-Monotonicity Through the Lens of Berkeley's District 2 City Council Race

Posted on What's New by Theodore Landsman on March 02, 2017
Understanding Condorcet Winners and Non-Monotonicity Through the Lens of Berkeley's District 2 City Council Race

What can we learn from our near miss with the absurd world of election irregularities? For one thing, while these situations worry some academics who study election systems, we have little evidence that they happen in practice.

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Magic Numbers: Small Vote Shifts in Key States Could Have Altered Electoral College Outcomes

Posted on What's New by Andrea Levien, Theodore Landsman on January 13, 2017
Magic Numbers: Small Vote Shifts in Key States Can Alter Electoral College Outcomes

One commonly cited benefit of the Electoral College is that, even when the national popular vote for president is close, it creates a decisive victory for one candidate or the other. However, these "decisive" victories are often more tenuous than they seem. There are plenty of elections in which slight vote shifts in key states would have changed the winner of the Electoral College vote.

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All RCV Elections in the Bay Area So Far Have Produced Condorcet Winners

Posted on What's New by Theodore Landsman on January 06, 2017
Every RCV Election in the Bay Area So Far Has Produced Condorcet Winners

San Francisco started using ranked choice voting in 2004. Since then, four Bay Area cities have held 138 elections for the 53 offices elected in those cities. In every single instance, the winner of the election has been the candidate who would defeat all others in a head-to-head contest -- that is, “the Condorcet winner.”

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The Connecticut State Senate, Bipartisanship, and Collaborative Policymaking

Posted on What's New by Kelsey Kober, Theodore Landsman on January 03, 2017
The Connecticut State Senate, Bipartisanship, and Collaborative Policymaking

There will be a new experiment in divided government. The Connecticut State Senate is now perfectly tied 18-18 for the first time since 1893. It is too early now to know what sort of concessions Democrats may offer. However, FairVote’s guide to Collaborative Policy Making could serve as a road map for inclusive policy making in the state Senate. Connecticut currently uses none of the agenda setting and consensus building practices that lead to a more civil and functional divided government.

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Contrasting the Election Integrity Index with Dubious Democracy

Posted on Quick News by Theodore Landsman on January 03, 2017
Contrasting the Election Integrity Index with Dubious Democracy

The Election Integrity Project recently released its U.S. Perceptions of Election Integrity (PEI) Survey results for 2016. News stories about their release immediately focused on the 7/100 score for North Carolina on the fairness of its district boundaries, the lowest score on this metric any state has ever received.

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Likely Changes in US House Seat Distribution for 2020

Posted on What's New by Theodore Landsman on December 30, 2016
Likely Changes in US House Seat Distribution for 2020

Last week, Real Clear Politics extrapolated demographic trends to project which states are likely to gain or lose U.S. House seats in the reapportionment that will occur after the 2020 Census. Their forecast has nine states losing one U.S. House seat and six states gaining seats. These are only projections, but given that we are now six years into the decade, many of the demographic shifts of the decade are already well advanced and difficult to reverse.

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Left to the Wayside: The Sooner State

Posted on What's New by Theodore Landsman on November 08, 2016
Left to the Wayside: The Sooner State

U.S. House results in Oklahoma tonight came as a surprise to few.

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Running Elections with RCV Does Not Increase “Undervote”

Posted on What's New by Theodore Landsman on November 08, 2016
Running Elections with RCV Does Not Increase “Undervote”

A review of undervotes in Bay Area elections suggest that the percentage of voters at the polls for state and national election are no more likely to skip local elections with ranked choice voting than those held without ranked choice voting.

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FairVote's Predictions for Close U.S. House Races

Posted on What's New by Theodore Landsman on November 08, 2016
FairVote's Predictions for Close U.S. House Races

For all but a few of these voters, the outcomes of U.S. House races are all-but predetermined. FairVote projects that the Democrats are certain win 158 seats, and Republicans 195, the remaining 82 races are less certain, but only a handful are truly competitive. Our full forecast is 192 seats for the Democrats, 243 seats for the Republicans.

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