Pages tagged "Author Theodore Landsman"


Understanding the Trump effect in the wake of the 2017 election

Posted on What's New by Theodore Landsman on November 15, 2017
Understanding the Trump effect in the wake of the 2017 election

A major issue FairVote encountered when deciding how to discuss the 2016 election was whether “Trump Effect” that is, the ways in which Trump realigned the electoral map along demographic and regional lines, as shown above, is representative of the new national environment.

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How delegate selection rules could impact the fate of the New York constitutional convention

Posted on What's New by Theodore Landsman on November 07, 2017
How delegate selection rules could impact the fate of the New York constitutional convention

Today New Yorkers will vote on whether to hold a New York State Constitutional Convention, often referred to by the shorthand “con con.”

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How to Bring Accountability Back to the House of Representatives

Posted on What's New by Theodore Landsman, Marie Lemieux on September 07, 2017
How to Bring Accountability Back to the House of Representatives

We are still more than a year away from the 2018 election. With both parties still regrouping in the aftermath of 2016, and deeply divided, it is an open question what the major issues, messages and scandals will be. However, there is one thing we can already say with near certainty. The number of seats won by each party's candidates will not track the number of votes they received.

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Evaluating the Efficiency Gap as a Measure of Proportionality and Competition

Posted on What's New by Theodore Landsman on May 31, 2017
Evaluating the Efficiency Gap as a Measure of Proportionality and Competition

The “efficiency gap” was first proposed by Stephanopoulos and McGhee in a 2015 paper, and it has emerged as a way to prove evidence of bias that even defenders of distorted maps could not deny.

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Shifts in Incumbency Advantage in the US House

Posted on What's New by Theodore Landsman on April 25, 2017
Shifts in Incumbency Advantage in the US House

Despite strong anti-establishment sentiment, which contributed to Donald Trump’s election and Bernie Sanders’ strong primary performance, more than 98% of U.S. House members won re-election in November. Not only were most incumbents re-elected, they were re-elected by significantly more comfortable margins than in 2014. The “incumbency bump” -- our measure of the strength of congressional incumbents -- rebounded from a 20-year low of 2.55% in 2014 to 3.2%. In other words, incumbents earned an average of 3.2 percentage points more of the vote than the partisanship of their district suggests they would earn.

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FairVote's Projections for U.S. House Elections in 2018

Posted on What's New by Theodore Landsman on April 07, 2017
FairVote's Projections for U.S. House Elections in 2018

Last month, FairVote released its projections for the November 2018 U.S. House elections that will take place nearly two years from now. If every current incumbent (excluding the five members of the 115th Congress who have already vacated their seats) were to seek re-election, we can confidently project that at least 368 of them, 205 Republicans and 163 Democrats would win.

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How to Elect More Wendy Davis's

Posted on Quick News by Kelsey Kober, Theodore Landsman on March 22, 2017

In 2008, Wendy Davis was elected to the Texas State Senate from a district that leans Republican. However, despite this, crossover representatives in the Texas Statehouse are rarer than ever.

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Los Angeles City Election Turnout Projected to Hit Record Low. Would RCV Help?

Posted on What's New by Rob Richie, Theodore Landsman on March 16, 2017
Los Angeles City  Election Turnout Projected to Hit Record Low, Would RCV Help?

Voter turnout in many city elections is hitting all-time lows. There is no single reason for such declines, evidence strongly suggests ranked choice voting (RCV) does not lead to lower turnout despite some claims to the contrary. Indeed, adoption of RCV has allowed cities to avoid primary and runoff elections that almost always had far lower turnout than the general election.

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How to Get Elected to Congress With Only 50,595 Votes

Posted on What's New by Theodore Landsman on March 15, 2017
How to Get Elected to Congress With Only 50,595 Votes

In the 2016 U.S. House election, Jim Bridenstine (OK-1) won reelection in a race with just 62,655 votes cast (or 8.1% of the district’s 2010 census population). Meanwhile, Ryan Zinke (MT) won his 2016 re-election bid with more than 507,000 votes cast, and earned more than five times as many votes as Bridenstein on his way to a victory that was (relatively) close. How can this be?

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