Pages tagged "Author sarah john"


Why 2016 was a Stronger Year for Incumbents

Posted on What's New by Sarah John on November 11, 2016
Why 2016 was a Stronger Year for Incumbents: Evaluating the Incumbency Advantage in U.S. House Races, 1996-2016

The 2016 U.S. House election was a better election for incumbents than 2014, and one in which the nation was split down the middle. The incumbency bump added eight points to the average incumbent’s margin of victory and only 12 seats (3%) of seats changed hands.

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Monopoly Politics Projections for 2016 US House Election 100% Accurate

Posted on What's New by Sarah John on November 11, 2016
Monopoly Politics Projections for 2016 US House Election 100% Accurate

In what many might have been assumed to be an unpredictable election, FairVote was able to project the outcomes of over 80% of U.S. House seats with 100% accuracy two years ahead of Election Day 2016.

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Incumbency, Gerrymandering or Geography? Explaining the Democrats' Inability to Win the U.S. House

Posted on Quick News by Sarah John on November 06, 2016
Incumbency, Gerrymandering or Geography? Explaining the Democrats' Inability to Win the U.S. House

On Sabato’s Crystal Ball, Professor Alan I. Abramowitz writes that it is incumbency, not gerrymandering that is the reason the Democrats are unlikely to win a U.S. House majority, even with a Clinton landslide. FairVote agrees, to a point.

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Australians cast RCV ballots in a House of Representatives election that’s too close to call

Posted on What's New by Sarah John on July 08, 2016
Australians cast RCV ballots in a House of Representatives election that’s too close to call

On Saturday, Australians headed to the polls to vote in the ranked choice voting elections for their national legislature. FairVote gives an overview of the campaign and the rise of early voting and voting by mail in Australia.

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Voters' Second Choices Help Choose London Mayor

Posted on Quick News by Sarah John on May 06, 2016

In a high turnout election, voters in London, England, headed to the polls yesterday to choose their mayor and city legislature. The city uses a “supplementary vote” system, in which voters indicate their first and second choice for mayor. If no candidate wins a majority of voters’ first choices, an instant runoff between the two candidates with the most votes takes place.

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The 2016 Irish elections

Posted on What's New by Sarah John on February 24, 2016
A brief run-down on the 2016 Irish elections

A brief run-down on the 2016 Irish elections

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Straw poll shows Cruz emerging as candidate with majority support

Posted on What's New by Sarah John on February 01, 2016
Straw poll shows Cruz emerging as candidate with majority support

To get a better sense of who is leading the ever-exciting Republican presidential race, Saul Anuzis, former State Chairman of the Michigan Republican Party, created a ranked choice voting (RCV) poll on our partner app, Civinomics.

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New Jersey 2015 State Legislative Elections: The Predictive Power of Partisanship and One Party Rule

Posted on What's New by Sarah John on November 13, 2015

New Jersey’s 2015 state election is striking for the predictive power of partisanship and the proportion of voters who are locked out of representation by a state legislator of their preferred political party. Under multi-winner RCV, most New Jerseyans would be able to cast a meaningful vote for a candidate of choice in the General Assembly and few voters would be trapped in a district without a representative from their preferred party.

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Anything but Fair: The Sad Tale of the Canadian Election System

Posted on What's New by Sarah John on October 16, 2015

Canada likely will soon have another minority government . Pollsters project the Liberal Party will lead with between 110 and 150 seats, likely besting the incumbent Conservative Party government. No Canadian party has topped 40% of the vote since 2000, and plurality elections  result in severe distortions in representation. The Liberals' platform includes a call for ranked choice voting.

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