Pages tagged "Author andrew douglas"


Simulating Instant Runoff Flips Most Donald Trump Primary Victories

Posted on What's New by Andrew Douglas, Rob Richie, Elliot Louthen on March 04, 2016
Simulating Instant Runoff Flips Most Donald Trump Primary Victories

If Super Tuesday contests had been conducted with ranked choice voting -- a proven system that empowers voters to rank candidates by preference in order to elect the candidate with the strongest support and the one most likely to garner the support of a majority -- the results would look very different. Our models suggest that Trump would have won Alabama and Massachusetts, competed in toss-up races in Tennessee and Vermont, and lost the remaining seven states.

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Rubio Passes Cruz and Trump in Simulated RCV Primary

Posted on What's New by Andrew Douglas, Molly Rockett on February 05, 2016
Rubio Passes Cruz and Trump in Simulated RCV Primary

Only three days after the Iowa Caucuses, the results of that contest are already reshaping the Republican primary field. Despite the fact that Ted Cruz technically won the Caucus (as much as any candidate can really “win” a caucus with proportional allocation of delegates), second-choice polling reveals a different candidate picking up momentum.

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Cruz Retains Lead in Final Iowa RCV Simulation

Posted on What's New by Andrew Douglas, Molly Rockett on February 01, 2016
Cruz Retains Lead in Final Iowa RCV Simulation

FairVote has been a consistent advocate of asking voters for more than just their first choice in polling. As the race narrows in the Republican field, second choices will inevitably play a large role in how the eventual nominee consolidates support.

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National RCV Primary Would Leave Trump and Cruz in Dead Heat

Posted on What's New by Andrew Douglas on December 23, 2015
National RCV Primary Would Leave Trump and Cruz in Dead Heat

Last week, we wrote about data from Public Policy Polling (PPP) that allowed us to simulate a ranked choice voting (RCV) Republican primary in New Hampshire, showing Donald Trump in a neck and neck race when head-to-head with Senator Marco Rubio, despite leading Rubio 28% to 11% in the first choice totals trumpeted by the media. This week, a new poll from PPP allows us to conduct a similar simulation, but this time with data from Republican voters nationwide.

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Simulated RCV Primary Shows How Trump Has Real Competition for GOP Majority

Posted on What's New by Andrew Douglas on December 18, 2015
Simulated RCV Primary Shows How Trump Has Real Competition for GOP Majority

A recent poll by Public Policy Polling (PPP) on the state of the New Hampshire Republican Presidential Primary shows Donald Trump retaining a strong lead, but it also shows how a ranked choice voting (RCV) election would leave Trump in a neck and neck race with Senator Marco Rubio.

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It's time to get out the vote... again.

Posted on What's New by Andrew Douglas on December 01, 2015
It's time to get out the vote... again.

Municipalities across the country held elections last month, as they do every November. But even if you are in the minority of voters who actually participate in elections that don’t coincide with presidential or congressional contests, your civic duties might not be complete just yet.

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Ranked Choice Voting and Racial Group Turnout

Posted on Research Reports by Andrew Douglas on November 02, 2015
Ranked Choice Voting and Racial Group Turnout

A recent study on the impact of RCV in San Francisco presents some surprising findings on differences in turnout between racial groups that contradict previous research on the subject. In this report, we take a closer look at the study and find serious methodological flaws that cast doubt on its findings.

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