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New Jersey Profile

Key Figures:

  • 13 Seats: 6R, 7D
  • In 2010, New Jersey Republicans earned a majority of the popular vote but remain a minority in the House

New Jersey Rankings 2010


Democracy Index

36th  (29.8)

 

Representation

39th (22.8)

Margin of Victory

31st (30.3)

 

Seats-to-Votes

6th (4.6)

Landslide Index

34th (69.2)

 

House Turnout

43rd (36.5)




 

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

2010

Democracy Index

--

--

25.7

27.4

22.6

29.6

20.8

25.6

25.2

29.8

Voter Turnout

50%

34%

47%

30%

48%

31%

57%

38.1%

58.8%

36.5%

Representation Index

31%

22%

30%

19%

31%

21%

38%

25.6%

37.9%

22.8%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Wasted Votes

38%

34%

36%

36%

35%

31%

33%

33.1%

35.6%

37.4%

% Of Wasted R / D Votes

34/37

18/50

25/45

34/35

31/36

24/36

28/36

23/36

39.7/30.4

33.6/38.8

Drop-Off Voters

10.5%

2.4%

8.2%

NA

6.3%

5.0%

9.1%

5.0%

11.1%

0%

Avg Margin of Victory

28%

35%

32%

33%

35%

42%

38%

41%

34.8%

30.3%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Votes for (R-D-O%)

50-45-5

54-44-2

50-48-3

47-50-3

46-51-2

47-51-2

46-52-2

42-57-1

42.5-55.6-1.9

49.7-48.3-2

Seats for (R-D-O%)

46-54-0

62-39-0

54-46-0

46-54-0

46-64-0

46-64-0

46-64-0

46-64-0

38.5-61.5-0

46.2-53.8-0

Seat Changes

--

2

1

1

0

0

0

0

1


                                       Election Results and Analysis: 2002-2010              

Results 2002-2010

2002

2004

2006

2008

2010

U.S. House (R-D-O)

6-7-0

6-7-0

6-7-0

5-8-0

6-7-0

Landslide Index

92%

77%

76.9%

69.2%

69.2%

Scale of Competitiveness

 

 

 

 

 

Tight: < 5

0

0

1

1

1

Competitive: 5-10

0

0

0

1

1

Opportunity: 10-20

1

3

2

1

2

Landslide: 20-40

7

6

5

6

6

No Contest: 40+

4

3

3

3

3

Uncontested

1

1

2

1

0

Incumbents

 

 

 

 

 

Total Running / Total Seats

12/13

13/13

12/13

11/13

13/13

Re-Election / Total Incumbent

12/12

13/13

12/12

11/11

12/13

Landslide / Total Incumbent

11/12

10/13

9/12

10/11

9/13

R. Landslide / R. Incumbent

5/5

4/6

3/6

3/4

4/5

D. Landslide / D. Incumbent

6/7

6/7

6/6

7/7

5/7

Untouchable Repeat Landslide

9

10

8

8

8

Uncontested Primary

9

--

--

10

--

Elected Women

0

0

0

0

0

Elected Racial Minorities

1B1L

1B1L

1B1L

1B

1B 1L

                                    Election Results and Analysis: 1992-2000

Results 1992-2000

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

U.S. House (R-D-O)

6-7-0

8-5-0

7-6-0

6-7-0

6-7-0

Landslide Index

69%

92%

69%

77%

77%

Scale of Competitiveness

 

 

 

 

 

Tight: < 5

1

1

2

1

1

Competitive: 5-10

1

0

0

1

1

Opportunity: 10-20

2

0

2

1

1

Landslide: 20-40

6

7

5

7

7

No Contest: 40+

3

5

4

3

3

Uncontested

0

0

0

0

0

Incumbents

 

 

 

 

 

Total Running / Total Seats

10/13

11/13

11/13

13/13

12/13

Re-Election / Total Incumbent

10/10

10/11

10/11

12/13

12/12

Landslide / Total Incumbent

8/10

10/11

9/11

10/13

9/12

R. Landslide / R. Incumbent

5/5

5/5

5/6

5/7

4/6

D. Landslide / D. Incumbent

3/5

5/6

4/5

5/6

5/6

Untouchable Repeat Landslide

5

8

9

8

10

Uncontested Primary

5

8

8

10

10

Elected Women

1

1

1

1

1

Elected Racial Minorities

1B 1L

1B 1L

1B1L

1B1L

1B1L

                          Election Results and Analysis: 1982-1990

Results 1982-1990

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

U.S. House (R-D-O)

5-9-0

6-8-0

6-8-0

6-8-0

6-8-0

Landslide Index

79%

79%

93%

93%

64%

Scale of Competitiveness

 

 

 

 

 

Tight: < 5

0

0

0

1

2

Competitive: 5-10

2

1

0

0

1

Opportunity: 10-20

1

2

1

0

2

Landslide: 20-40

7

7

7

6

4

No Contest: 40+

4

4

6

6

5

Uncontested

0

0

0

1

0

Incumbents

 

 

 

 

 

Total Running / Total Seats

14/14

13/14

14/14

12/14

12/14

Re-Election / Total Incumbent

13/14

12/13

14/14

12/12

12/12

Landslide / Total Incumbent

11/14

10/13

13/14

12/12

8/12

R. Landslide / R. Incumbent

3/6

4/4

6/6

6/6

4/5

D. Landslide / D. Incumbent

8/8

6/9

7/8

6/6

4/7

Untouchable Repeat Landslide

6

8

11

12

8

Uncontested Primary

13

6

5

11

6

Elected Women

1

1

1

1

1

Elected Racial Minorities

0

0

0

1B

1B


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