National Popular Vote projection nearly spot on
Obama - 52.4% McCain - 46.3% Others - 1.3%
For all the talk of a "new electoral map," it largely isn't true -- it's simply a map that looks different when there is a distinct shift in the two-party vote. If we have a 50-50 election in the 2012 election, the map may lookremarkably as it did in 2004. We'll have a full analysis soon.