Versions of this commentary have appeared in TomPaine.com
and Alternet.
Ensuring a Fair Presidential Election
By Steven Hill and Rob Richie
April 14, 2004
Many pundits and activists have finally figured out what
political insiders always knew: our presidential election is
not a national election at all. The battle for chief
executive will be fought in 15 battleground states, none
either solidly Republican red or Democratic blue, each
fought as individual contests that will be too close to
call. This political geography presents important lessons
for partisans and reformers alike.
In a likely replay of the 2000 election, the battleground
states are Florida (of course), Pennsylvania, Ohio,
Michigan, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Iowa, Missouri, Arkansas,
West Virginia, New Hampshire, New Mexico, Oregon, Washington
and Arizona. Some add Louisiana, Tennessee and Nevada,
making 18 states.
These states' concerns will drive much of the campaign
debate. Those in the Midwest's rust belt have been hit hard
by job losses, particularly in well-paying manufacturing
jobs, making states like Ohio competitive. More Latino
voters in New Mexico, Arizona and Nevada create dilemmas for
Republicans on issues like immigration. With the prominence
of Florida and its senior citizens, we'll hear a lot about
Medicare and Social Security. And don't expect John Kerry to
highlight gun control or other pet liberal issues when the
almighty swing voters in battleground states mostly oppose
them.
Key issues of concern to those in other states -- even large
states like Texas, New York, Illinois and California -- will
get short shrift because they are not in play. Just as in
our largely non-competitive congressional races, most
Americans effectively will be on the political sidelines.
But that doesn't mean those voters can't be involved in
certain ways. They can make sure friends and relatives in
the battleground states are registered to vote. They can
hold house parties to raise campaign cash for the close
states. Some might even be able to travel to a nearby
battleground state and volunteer.
Most immediately, voters everywhere can highlight the need
for fair elections. With the two sides so close, we could be
looking at another "Florida" happening in any
number of battleground states, perhaps in several of them.
The political geography of battleground states allows the
presidential candidates to target not only their resources
and campaigning - but also their attempts to steal the
election. Changing the results in one battleground state,
particularly a large state like Ohio or Pennsylvania, will
make a difference in the outcome.
So advocates of fair elections similarly must target our
efforts to lessen the chance of another Florida happening.
That means working in the 15 battleground states with civic
groups like People for the American Way, the League of Women
Voters and Advancement Project to:
* Establish high-profile 1-800 numbers where voters can
report incidents of fraud or disenfranchisement, with
"hot spot" legal teams ready to be
dispatched to problem areas.
* Ensure voter registration lists are handled fairly, unlike
in Florida where tens of thousands of likely Democratic
voters were wrongly tagged as ex-felons and removed.
* Educate voters and pollworkers that voters now have a
federal right to cast a "provisional ballot" if
they barred from voting because aren't on
the voter list in their precinct. Election officials must
research each provisional ballot and either validate or deny
it before certifying any winners. This new right won't be
much use if barred voters don't know to ask for a
provisional ballot, or precinct poll workers aren't trained
to handle them.
* Demand greater public scrutiny of both old and new voting
equipment, ensuring that antiquated punchcards and more
modern optical scan
machines and "touchscreens" count voters' ballots
as intended.
* Protect the rights of overseas voters, both civilians and
those in the military, by sending them ballots in a timely
manner.
It would be wise to take precautions immediately, before
it's too late, to avoid any more Katherine Harris hometown
jobs. In 2000, Harris acted
as both Florida's Secretary of State in charge of elections
and as chairwoman of George Bush's campaign in Florida. That
kind of conflict
of interest should be a big red flag.
Another red flag was raised when staunch Republican Walden
O'Dell, CEO of voting equipment manufacturer Diebold, said
in a private fund-raising
letter "we are going to deliver Ohio's electoral votes
to President Bush." Did he mean by fraudulent means?
Many Ohio counties use Diebold's computerized touchscreens
to count their ballots. Fair elections advocates should
demand greater scrutiny of that equipment, including
examination of the software code and witnessing the
"logic and accuracy" tests that are performed
before and after Ohio's election to certify the reliability
of the equipment.
Longer term, we need to challenge how the Electoral College
marginalizes most voters because they live in noncompetitive
states. We should push
states to require majority winners through instant runoff
voting, and debate ideas like an Election Day holiday and
universal voter registration. But this year it all comes
down to the battleground states. The Florida debacle pretty
much revealed the template for the types of goof ups,
manipulations and fraud that must be avoided in 2004. We
must organize in the 15 battleground states to ensure that,
this time, all votes are counted and all votes count. The
stakes for our country couldn't be higher.