New open seats: John Conyers, Trent Franks and Sander Levin will not seek re-election

Posted by Author Johnathan Nowakowski on December 08, 2017

As we announced last month, we will report on any new announcements from members of Congress who will not seek re-election, and describe how the new open seat impacts our projections for the 2018 elections to the House of Representatives.

This week, Congressman Sander Levin (D-MI-9) announced he would not seek a 19th term. Due to his retirement, FairVote’s projection for his seat changes from a projected Democratic seat to no projection due to the competitive nature of his seat; Michigan’s ninth congressional district has a Democratic partisanship of 52.9 percent.

Two other congressman announced their resignation this week. The Dean of the House of Representatives, Congressman John Conyers Jr. (D-MI-13), announced his resignation earlier this week. With a Democratic partisanship of 79.3 percent, FairVote still projects a Democratic winner at our highest confidence level. Also, Congressman Trent Franks (R-AZ-8) announced his resignation late Thursday night. His seat has a Republican partisanship of 61.6 percent, so FairVote still projects a Republican winner at our highest confidence level.

Due to Levin’s retirement, we now make high confidence projections in 378 seats, 207 for Republicans and 171 for Democrats.

 

Here is a summary of all vacancies heading into 2018 so far:

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And here is the full list of open seats:

infogram_0_52066b35-1584-4ead-ad53-9125c0e0905b2018 Open Seatshttps://e.infogram.com/js/dist/embed.js?YqPtext/javascript

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