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FairVote's Predictions for Close U.S. House Races

Posted by Theodore Landsman on November 08, 2016
FairVote's Predictions for Close U.S. House Races

For all but a few of these voters, the outcomes of U.S. House races are all-but predetermined. FairVote projects that the Democrats are certain win 158 seats, and Republicans 195, the remaining 82 races are less certain, but only a handful are truly competitive. Our full forecast is 192 seats for the Democrats, 243 seats for the Republicans.

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Votes vs. Seats in the People's House

Posted by Rob Richie, Drew Penrose on November 08, 2016
Votes vs. Seats in the People's House

Tonight, we can say with confidence that Republicans will maintain their majority in the House of Representatives, whether they win more votes or not. In addition, there will likely be multiple states in which more voters vote for one party, yet the other party wins more seats.

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Vote-Splitting in These Senate Races Could Have an Impact

Posted by Mohamed Aziz on November 08, 2016
Vote-Splitting in These Senate Races Could Have an Impact

In every state except Louisiana and Georgia, U.S. Senators are elected in a contest in which every voter has one vote, and the candidate with the most votes wins. That means that if more than two candidates run, votes can be split up among them so that the candidate who wins was opposed by most voters. This happens every year, and it contributes to doubts as to the legitimacy of the candidate elected, and to the continued shaming of independent and third party candidates as “spoilers.”

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Vote-Splitting and Runoff Election Loom for Louisiana Senate Race

Posted by Austin Plier on November 08, 2016
Vote-Splitting and Runoff Election Loom for Louisiana Senate Race

As the race for control of the U.S. Senate unfolds on election night, most eyes will be trained on the handful of particularly competitive Senate races. However the dynamics that are likely to unfold in Louisiana are promising to be particularly intriguing. With so many competitive candidates running for Senate, we’re almost certain to see severe vote-splitting, with no candidate winning even close to a majority of the votes, requiring a runoff election.

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Louisiana Military and Overseas Voters Cast Ranked Ballots

Posted by Austin Plier on November 08, 2016
Louisiana Military and Overseas Voters Cast Ranked Ballots

This year, overseas and military voters cast ranked choice voting ballots in five states. In fact, in advance of Louisiana’s 8:00 pm poll closing deadline this evening, thousands of ranked ballots will have been returned to the state’s election officials by military and overseas voters.

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