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Shifts in Incumbency Advantage in the US House

Posted by Theodore Landsman on April 25, 2017
Shifts in Incumbency Advantage in the US House

Despite strong anti-establishment sentiment, which contributed to Donald Trump’s election and Bernie Sanders’ strong primary performance, more than 98% of U.S. House members won re-election in November. Not only were most incumbents re-elected, they were re-elected by significantly more comfortable margins than in 2014. The “incumbency bump” -- our measure of the strength of congressional incumbents -- rebounded from a 20-year low of 2.55% in 2014 to 3.2%. In other words, incumbents earned an average of 3.2 percentage points more of the vote than the partisanship of their district suggests they would earn.

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An Important New Book on Election Reform

Posted by Drew Penrose on April 19, 2017
An Important New Book on Election Reform

Changing How America Votes, edited by Todd Donovan, includes 13 innovative ideas about how to assess our democracy and make elections in the United States better. FairVote’s reform vision is well-represented in the collection, including a chapter making the case for the Fair Representation Act for Congress.

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FairVote's Projections for U.S. House Elections in 2018

Posted by Theodore Landsman on April 07, 2017
FairVote's Projections for U.S. House Elections in 2018

Last month, FairVote released its projections for the November 2018 U.S. House elections that will take place nearly two years from now. If every current incumbent (excluding the five members of the 115th Congress who have already vacated their seats) were to seek re-election, we can confidently project that at least 368 of them, 205 Republicans and 163 Democrats would win.

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Mexico's Election Policy Revolution

Posted by Author Lane Baldwin on April 04, 2017
Mexico's Election Policy Revolution

In 2014 the Mexican Government, lead by President Enrique Pena Nieto, adopted an electoral reform package containing a number of policies such as the adoption of an independent redistricting commission. This changes have been hailed by reformers, but also include more controversial policies such as the easing of a ban on re-election to the legislature.

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Northern Ireland’s Fair Representation Voting Elections Yield a More Balanced Legislative Assembly

Posted by Kelsey Kober on March 31, 2017
Northern Ireland’s Fair Representation Voting Elections Yield a More Balanced Legislative Assembly

On March 2nd, Northern Ireland’s citizens cast their votes to elect the nation’s 2017 Legislative Assembly. The Irish nationalist Sinn Fein (SF) party closed the gap on the predominant Democratic Unionist Party (DUP) while smaller, more moderate parties such as the Ulster Unionist Party and the Alliance Party of Northern Ireland gained improved representation.

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St. Louis: Racially Divided Mayor's Race Cries Out for RCV Reform

Posted by Steven Hill on March 31, 2017
St. Louis: Racially Divided Mayor's Race Cries Out for RCV Reform

In the Democratic primary for mayor in St. Louis, MO, Alderwoman Lyda Krewson eked out a slim victory against the other six Democratic challengers, winning with only 32% of the popular vote. That means more than two thirds of voters picked another candidate besides the victor. There's a better way to vote in primary elections like these.

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