Ted Kennedy’s tragedy and Massachusetts special election rules
May 22nd, 2008
Rob Richie
Rob Richie is director of FairVote. See his page at fairvote.org for more information.
Leaders from both major parties were in shock at the news this week that Massachusetts senator Ted Kennedy has a malignant brain tumor. A partisan lightning rod for many years, Sen. Kennedy has developed a remarkable reputation for working across party lines to address the nation’s problems from his generally liberal perspective.
Election wonk that I am, I must admit that when I heard the news, one thing I realized was that Sen. Kennedy’s health may lead him to step down from the Senate before his term ends in 2012. It turns out I wasn’t the only one, as indicated by this Associated Press story on National Public Radio’s site.
As background, the Massachusetts legislature in 2004 moved fast to pass a law requiring a special election to fill U.S. Senate vacancies rather than continue to have the governor appoint a replacement. Triggered by Sen. John Kerry’s White House bid combined with the presence of Republican Mitt Romney in the Massachusetts gubernatorial mansion, this new law was partisan in its origins, but also was the right thing to do. It’s a remarkable contrast that here in the 21st century most states accept the undemocratic process of gubernatorial appointment even as our constitutional framers in 1787 put provisions in the Constitution that have meant every single person who has served in the U.S. House has been popularly elected, including those filling vacancies. See my colleague David Moon’s excellent commentary on this subject last year.
But there’s one problem: the current vacancy law means involves primary elections followed by a general election. In the primary, the election will be held using plurality voting — meaning the candidate who finishes first will take the nomination. With 10 Democratic U.S. House members potentially having a free crack at the seat, combined with other potential strong challengers like Sen. Kennedy’s son Joe, you can imagine a wild free-for-all where the first-place finisher has well under 25% of the vote — and potentially in a relatively low turnout race held apart from other major elections. Indeed, Massachusetts Democratic primaries for safely Democratic U.S. House seats have been won with as little as 23% in recent years. Tha can lead to a very unrepresentative result.
Once the primary winner takes office, that person could be there for a long, long time. It’s in everyone’s interest in Massachusetts to have its new U.S. Senator be grounded at least in majority support within his or her party. Massachusetts’ legislature should pass a law requiring instant runoff voting for U.S. Senate vacancy elections - and other states should move to require Senate vacancies to be filled by popular election, ideally with instant runoff voting.
And of course we wish Sen. Kennedy well and hope that all this discussion remains a theoretical problem.
Other posts by Rob Richie
- Founding FairVote backer and Cincinnati legend Harris Weston dies - July 4th, 2009
- Sarah Palin's resignation to reduce women governors to six - July 3rd, 2009
- Delaware house votes 2 to 1 for National Popular Vote - 29th chamber in 18th state - June 24th, 2009
- Obama's political team: Expediency over principle in "working" Electoral College rather than reforming it - June 21st, 2009
- Special interests upset with instant runoff voting in San Francisco - and broader lessons - June 21st, 2009
- FairVote chair Krist Novoselic makes key point about rights of association in candidacy - June 17th, 2009
- Brennan Center's new report on universal registration joins FairVote in highlighting Canadian model - June 16th, 2009
- Instant runoff voting in Australia: Guest blogger Ben Raue - June 16th, 2009
- Washington, D.C. City council has chance to make D.C. a "beacon of democracy" - June 13th, 2009
- Slamdunk win in Minnesota Supreme Court highlights big week for instant runoff voting - June 12th, 2009

May 22nd, 2008 at 11:23 am
You’d be interested to know that the New York Daily News is reporting that Sen. Kennedy has made it clear that he would like his wife to keep the senate seat in the family: http://www.nydailynews.com/news/us_world/2008/05/22/2008-05-22_ted_kennedy_id_like_wife_to_take_seat.html
May 22nd, 2008 at 11:28 am
This is a big problem in DC ward primaries too. Beyond the spoiler dynamics that likely exist in those races, winners depending on much less than majority support pose problems for city council representativeness. At the very least, single-winner party primaries should use something like IRV.
One might get a first grasp of candidate representativeness by comparing content analysis of his/her campaign communications with public opinion on issues in the same ward/jurisdiction.